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The indictment of monetary policy

The Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) documents uploaded on the International Monetary Fund (IMF) website this Tuesday past, 18 July, added monetary policy mis-calibration to the risk assessment matrix – missing from…

Interest rates: no more room for tightening

Interest rates in Pakistan are almost at historic highs and still the country is running negative real rates on both current and forward-looking inflation. Some believe that the interest rates…

There’s a need for belt-tightening measures

To market participants’ surprise, SBP (State Bank of Pakistan) has increased the policy rate by one percent (100 basis points) to 16 percent. Although some market participants were not expecting…

Monetary policy: chasing vs targeting inflation

The statement from Dr. Murtaza Syed, Acting Governor the SBP (State Bank of Pakistan) that monetary policy ‘will not risk creating economic recession to bring inflation down and real positive…

MPS: Still No Tightening

MPS: Still no tightening

The decision is right; but the script misses a few key risks. The policy rate will remain unchanged after the fifth consecutive monetary policy review on Saturday. The inflation has…