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Should the MPC meeting be preponed?

The most concerning and alarming element in the macro numbers is that inflation is growing out of control. Food inflation has exceeded 40 percent while the core inflation is close…

Questions the MPC didn’t answer

There were no surprises at all in the MPC (Monetary Policy Committee) meeting. Parts of the market tilted towards a 125-basis point rise but the SBP (State Bank of Pakistan)…

The MPC projections

The last meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the SBP was held on the 14th of December 2021, after the meeting on the 17th of November 2021. Combined,…

Time to strengthen SBP’s MPC

The economic team, including SBP, is taking too much time to make moves, and in the process taking some unwarranted decisions. The disposition was not much different for previous regimes;…

MPC: wait and see

There are clear signs of current account slippages. This comes in tandem with economic recovery in Pakistan. A better fiscal year (2020-21) – in terms of growth and tamed current…

Output: uptick, downtick or …

This is the first of a two-part series focusing on the significant divergence in calculation of Gross Domestic Product by the government and the international donors. And the possibility of…

Bad news for Asian FX, esp PKR

Pakistani monetary authorities can only count their sorrows as King Dollar’s unrelenting advance pushes Asian currencies to lows not seen in months, in some cases years, robbing the Pakistani rupee…

Path of maximum uncertainty

The market’s given a roaring farewell to the coalition government (up about 20pc since the SBA) but – write this down somewhere – there’s simply too much uncertainty on at…