Monetary policy decision is due today. Three macro variables are making a compelling argument for a big rate cut. These include sharply falling headline inflation, consistently running primary fiscal surplus,…
Inflation has come down dramatically – from 28.3 percent in January 2024 to 1.5 percent in February 2025. The question remains: why isn’t there a feel-good factor? Inflation, economists maintain,…
Pakistan’s economy is addicted to debt. Lavish government spending, recklessly financed through borrowing has resulted in a precarious debt trap, a depreciated rupee, escalating inflation, and an economy on the…
‘Annex VI. From boom-bust to stabilization: monetary policy and business cycles in Pakistan’ published in the October 2024 report by International Monetary Fund (IMF) titled ‘Article IV consultation and request…
With economic stabilization on the horizon, pressure from employers, particularly from white-collar urban workers, is mounting for wage increases. Wages are likely to rise in 2025, which will stimulate overall…
Among macroeconomic indicators, primarily inflation has come down drastically over recent months, whereby consumer price index (CPI) has fallen from a high of 28.8 percent in January to 4.9 percent…
The very good news is that there has been a precipitate drop in the rate of inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the Pakistan Bureau of…
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October 2024 was 7.2 percent against 6.9 percent the month before – a rise of 0.3 percent which, barring June 2024 when it rose…
WHAT goes up must come down. This truth also applies to economic trends, which exhibit cycles of ups and downs. However, the pace of going up and coming down depends…
DEBT, climate, and inflation have in recent years become important planks of the spring meetings hosted by the World Bank and IMF. The agenda for this year’s meetings, which concluded last week,…
